83 BEST Tips Fantasy Football Players To Avoid (Critical)

Fantasy Football Players To Avoid - My Very Subjective, Personal Opinion:

Fantasy Football Players To Avoid - Full Picture:

Fantasy football is more than just fun—it’s strategic, involving deep dives into data, careful study of players, and keeping an eye out for breakout stars. Success hinges on recognizing not only the big names but also the sleepers who could make a difference. This comprehensive guide will explore essential aspects of fantasy football scouting to ensure you’re well-prepared for a winning season.

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Statistical Analysis

When analyzing fantasy football players, statistics are often the clearest indicator of a player’s performance potential.

Key Metrics to Consider

• Points Per Game (PPG): A vital metric for understanding how consistently a player produces in fantasy scoring. Look back to last season to gauge reliability.

• Target Share and Snap Percentages: For wide receivers and tight ends, a high target share usually means more opportunities to rack up points. Snap counts reveal how often players are on the field, crucial for defensive positions, too.

• Yards Per Attempt (YPA): This can be vital for both quarterbacks and running backs. An efficient YPA highlights explosiveness and the ability to maximize opportunities.

• Touchdown Dependency: If a player’s fantasy value relies heavily on touchdowns, they might be high risk. A dip in TD numbers could jeopardize production.

Notable Statistical Performers

• Justin Jefferson (WR) had a monster season in 2022 and continues to dominate in targets, catches, and yards, making him a top PPR and standard leagues choice.

• Josh Allen (QB) blends rushing and passing stats brilliantly, making him valuable in leagues where dual-threat QBs shine.

• Travis Kelce (TE): Consistently averaging nearly 80-90 yards per game, he's unmatched and nearly always delivers substantial fantasy returns.

Player Potential

Analyzing potential goes beyond last year’s stats. By examining growth opportunities, new circumstances, or team philosophy, you can spot breakout candidates or undervalued assets.

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Breakout Stars to Watch

Players ready to make a leap often share similar traits—either increased opportunity due to roster changes or signs of steady development.

• Garrett Wilson (WR): Now paired with Aaron Rodgers at quarterback, Wilson is primed to emerge as a fantasy star. His blend of strong route-running and separation skills makes him a breakout candidate.

• Bijan Robinson (RB): Rookies often bring excitement, and Robinson, fresh from college dominance, looks set to carve a big role with Atlanta.

• Trevor Lawrence (QB): After showing significant strides last year, and with a bolstered receiving corps, Lawrence could move into fantasy football’s elite quarterback tier.

Team Dynamics

The team's philosophy and situation play a major role in fantasy player performance. A pass-heavy offense, a solid offensive line, or a strong QB-WR connection can elevate players.

Offenses to Target

• Kansas City Chiefs: With Patrick Mahomes at the helm, nearly every offensive player has upside. Kelce is the clear No. 1, but late-round dart throws like Skyy Moore or Kadarius Toney might hit.

• Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Burrow spreads the ball around in a high-octane offense. Tee Higgins and Ja'Marr Chase command attention and should feature prominently in fantasy lineups.

• Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Hurts provides steady quarterback production in both the air and on the ground. Also, A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith are must-watch receivers heading into the season.

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Injury History

Staying healthy earns players long-term fantasy viability. Conversely, high-risk players with injury plagued seasons could sink your team.

Players to Approach Cautiously

• Christian McCaffrey (RB): While exceptional when healthy, he's had a history of missed games. Relying on quality backups is key if you draft him.

• Michael Thomas (WR): Once a fantasy darling, his return remains questionable after multiple injury setbacks. He’s a high-risk, high-reward name to monitor.

• Saquon Barkley (RB): Though he played a full season last year, his injury history requires that managers ensure they have depth in their RB position group.

Sleeper Pick with Injury Risks

Not all injury-prone players should be avoided. If you can get a player like D’Andre Swift (RB) late in the draft, you could benefit with less cost if he stays healthy.

Expert Opinions & Strategy

Experts often provide insight into patterns that casual fans might overlook. Leveraging their advice can uncover sleepers and undervalued gems.

Insights from Fantasy Pros

• Fade the Hype: Overdrafting hyped rookies can backfire. While Bijan Robinson seems legit, rushing to reach for lesser-known rookies without a clear role can damage your roster depth.

• Prioritize Value over Need: If a top-tier wide receiver falls in a draft but you "need" a running back, select the best value available. Trading later or picking up depth players is a better move.

• Ride the Hot Hand: Pay attention to players who hit their stride mid-season. For example, last-season waiver wire adds like Christian Watson saved many teams during playoff pushes.

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Strategies for Spotting Players Mid-Season

Drafting well is only part of the puzzle. Your ability to identify rising stars during the season separates good managers from championship winners.

Weekly Patterns to Watch

Each week, analyze matchups, injuries, and roles, as these directly impact fantasy points. Undrafted or benched players who step into starting roles due to injury often offer high-value pick-ups.

Rostering Emerging Talents

• Players like Tank Dell (WR)—who flew under the draft radar but showed chemistry with his quarterback—could provide enormous payoff.

• Backup RBs stepping up: Each year, a few backups like Alexander Mattison or Tony Pollard historically shine, improving value as the season progresses.

FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions)

1. What is the most important factor when selecting fantasy football players to watch?

The most important factor is consistency in performance. Look for players who have a track record of consistently delivering fantasy points, even in tough matchups.

2. How do I identify breakout players before the season starts?

Focus on players who have moved to a better team situation, are stepping into a bigger role, or showed flashes of potential in the previous season. Youth and increased opportunity are key indicators.

3. Are dual-threat quarterbacks better for fantasy football?

Yes, dual-threat quarterbacks, like Jalen Hurts or Josh Allen, offer both passing and rushing yards, which makes them higher-value assets in most league formats.

4. Should I prioritize wide receivers or running backs in my draft?

This depends on your league’s scoring format. Running backs are often more valuable in standard leagues, while wide receivers shine in PPR (points per reception) leagues.

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5. How can I handle players with high injury risk?

Draft these players only if you plan to secure solid backups. Injury-prone players can offer high upside but also come with significant risk, so strike a balance in your roster.

6. What metrics are most important for evaluating wide receivers?

Target share, route participation, yards per reception, and receiving touchdowns are key metrics for wide receivers. Look for players who are a vital part of their team’s offense.

7. Are rookies reliable fantasy football options?

Some rookies can be very reliable, especially if they are entering a major role on their team. However, it’s essential to avoid overvaluing them and to monitor their preseason performance.

8. Can backup players be good fantasy options?

Absolutely. Backup players, like Tony Pollard last season, often emerge as league winners when injuries or opportunities arise. Keep an eye on teams with shaky starters.

9. How does team offensive scheme impact fantasy football players?

Team schemes dictate player opportunities. For example, pass-heavy teams will elevate quarterback and wide receiver value, while run-focused teams prioritize the running back position.

10. Should I avoid players on bad teams?

Not necessarily. Even players on struggling teams can thrive, especially those with guaranteed touches, like a workhorse running back or a top receiver.

11. How important are bye weeks when drafting?

While not the most crucial factor, make sure your top players don’t share a bye week, as this could leave you with a weak lineup for that week.

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12. Is it worth drafting tight ends early?

Only if you’re targeting an elite tight end like Travis Kelce. Beyond the top tier, most tight ends offer similar value, so waiting until later rounds is better.

13. How do I identify sleeper picks?

Look for players who might have a hidden opportunity due to injuries, trades, or improved team dynamics. Preseason performance and training camp buzz can hint at potential value.

14. Are kickers and defenses important to watch?

Yes, though less critical than skill positions, picking a reliable kicker and top-tier defense can provide consistent points, especially in later rounds.

15. Should I draft based on my favorite team?

It’s best to avoid bias. Rooting for your favorite team is fun, but fantasy success requires objective decision-making based on stats and performance.

16. How do I adjust my roster for mid-season?

Keep an eye on the waiver wire for players stepping into larger roles and don’t hesitate to trade underperforming stars for consistent producers.

17. What is the importance of ADP (average draft position)?

ADP helps you gauge when players are being selected in drafts. Use it to draft players at good value without reaching too high for them.

18. Can tight ends win your league?

If you secure a top-tier tight end who outperforms others at the position, like Travis Kelce, it can give you a massive advantage week-to-week.

19. Should I avoid players in shared backfields?

Not always. Committees can be frustrating, but running backs in good offenses (e.g., Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott in Dallas last season) can still deliver value.

20. How do you monitor player trends during the season?

Track weekly stats, such as target share, snap percentages, and injury reports, as they can reveal shifts in player usage and value before your opponents notice.

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21. Are mid-season trades worth pursuing?

Yes, mid-season trades can help balance your roster or cover gaps caused by injuries. Target underperforming stars or breakout players undervalued by other managers.

22. Should I focus on players from good teams only?

Not exclusively. While players on winning teams often have better game scripts, garbage time points from players on bad teams can also be valuable.

23. How do I prepare for injury-prone stars?

Select a strong backup option through drafting handcuffs—backups to your key starters—or monitor top waiver wire players weekly.

24. Are touchdowns a reliable predictor of fantasy value?

Touchdowns are high-variance and hard to predict. Players less reliant on touchdowns but with high volume (carries or targets) are safer choices.

25. How can I predict a mid-season breakout player?

Pay attention to injuries, depth chart changes, and trends in player usage (e.g., snaps or targets per game) to identify breakout potential.

26. Why is PPR scoring important for wide receivers and running backs?

PPR awards points for receptions, boosting the value of players who see high target volume, like slot receivers and pass-catching running backs.

27. How should I approach drafting quarterbacks?

Unless you’re targeting elite options like Patrick Mahomes or Josh Allen, it’s usually wise to wait and grab value in later rounds from solid yet underrated QBs.

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28. Can you draft multiple players from the same team?

Yes, especially if the team has a high-scoring offense like the Chiefs or Bengals. Just ensure they don’t cannibalize each other’s fantasy production.

29. Is waiver priority more crucial early or late in the season?

Waiver wire is critical throughout, but early weeks are essential for grabbing breakout talent before their value skyrockets. Late-season waiver moves solidify playoff runs.

30. What makes a player a “must-watch” candidate?

A “must-watch” player is one with strong upside, opportunity to break out, or prior consistent performance, combined with favorable team dynamics and health.

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Conclusion

Fantasy football success combines data, preparation, and gut instincts.

It's about finding the balance between consistent veterans like Travis Kelce, high-upside breakout candidates like Garrett Wilson, and monitoring the waiver wire throughout the season.

By carefully considering statistics, player potential, and team dynamics, you’ll position yourself ahead of the competition.

Study up, commit to week-to-week adaptability, and enjoy the game.

May your season end with a championship trophy!