65 BEST Tips Fantasy Football QB Tiers (Facts)

Fantasy Football QB Tiers - My Very Subjective, Personal Opinion:

Fantasy Football QB Tiers - Full Picture:

When building a championship-winning fantasy football roster, few decisions are as critical as choosing the right quarterback (QB). Yet, not all quarterbacks are created equal. Some are electrifying game-changers, while others thrive in the consistency department but may lack upside.

This is why understanding fantasy football QB tiers is essential to dominating your league. Breaking down quarterbacks into tiers simplifies decision-making on draft day and provides clear strategies for roster construction throughout the season.

Below, we’ll unpack what QB tiers are, why they matter, and how to evaluate quarterbacks based on past performance, this season’s projections, injury concerns, and even advanced analytics.

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What Are QB Tiers in Fantasy Football?

Grouping Similar QBs Together

QB tiers are categories that group quarterbacks with similar projected production levels for the upcoming fantasy season. Instead of focusing on exact rankings (e.g., QB1, QB2, QB3), tiers allow you to evaluate a QB relative to others within the same skill or production range.

Why QB Tiers Are Important

• Minimizing overpaying - Tiers help you avoid reaching for a QB when someone of equal value may still be available later.

• Flexibility during drafts - They guide you to adapt your draft strategy based on how other players in your league prioritize QBs.

• Optimizing upside and depth - Understanding tiers ensures that you strike the perfect balance between superstar potential and reliable production.

Tier Rankings for 2023

Tier 1 - Elite, Game-Changing QBs

Elite QBs provide consistent, top-tier fantasy production and week-winning performances. These players are usually dual-threats who contribute with both their arm and legs.

Key Names:

• Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs) – The gold standard at the position with massive passing volume and highlight-worthy plays every week.

• Josh Allen (Bills) – Dual-threat ability with massive upside thanks to his rushing touchdowns.

• Jalen Hurts (Eagles) – Offers a dangerous running floor paired with an efficient passing capability.

Tier 2 - High-Upside Stars

These quarterbacks have the potential to finish as the QB1 overall but may lack the consistent ceiling of Tier 1 QBs.

Names to Consider:

• Joe Burrow (Bengals) – A pocket-passing prodigy who lights up the box score with star receivers.

• Justin Herbert (Chargers) – Armed with a revamped offense and deep-passing efficiency.

• Lamar Jackson (Ravens) – When healthy, his rushing production is unparalleled.

Tier 3 - Reliable Starting QBs

Players in Tier 3 are mostly steady starters with top-12 finishes within reach but may lack elite weekly upside.

Notable Options:

• Trevor Lawrence (Jaguars) – Another step forward in a developing offense could propel him into Tier 2.

• Kirk Cousins (Vikings) – Underrated in fantasy circles, he delivers solid numbers year after year.

• Dak Prescott (Cowboys) – A high-floor option with solid team support.

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Tier 4 - Streamers and Deep League Options

These QBs are either situationally dependent or inconsistent but can thrive in certain matchups.

Late-Round QBs:

• Geno Smith (Seahawks)

• Daniel Jones (Giants)

• Jared Goff (Lions)

How to Evaluate Quarterbacks for Tiers

Using Historical Performance

Analyzing a QB’s historical production helps to gauge reliability. Metrics like passing yards per game, total touchdowns, and fantasy points per game over multiple seasons provide context for their role in your draft strategy. For example:

• Patrick Mahomes has averaged over 300 passing yards and 2+ touchdowns per game since 2019, making him a perennial Tier 1 option.

Considering Current-Season Projections

High-profile offseason moves (e.g., trades, coaching changes) can significantly alter QB values:

• The addition of elite WR weapons can elevate QBs like Justin Herbert, whose connection with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams thrives when healthy.

• For Jalen Hurts, the powerful Eagles offensive line and rushing design enhance his fantasy allure.

Factoring in Injuries

Durability plays a major role in which tier a QB belongs to. A player like Lamar Jackson delivers absurd rushing upside but comes with risk due to prior injuries. Conversely, a player like Joe Burrow, who has shown relative health in recent seasons, may feel like a safer pick.

Strategic Drafting Tips for Using QB Tiers

Wait or Invest Early?

• The Case to Wait on QB Tiers: Historically, Tier 3 and Tier 4 QBs have delivered productive seasons at great value. Consider Kirk Cousins, who is often undervalued but still ranks among top producers.

• Invest Early for Elite Value: If you want a reliable, week-to-week leader, grabbing a Tier 1 QB in the third or fourth round can set you apart from competitors.

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Watching Positional Drop-Offs

Tiers allow you to watch for positional cliffs. For instance, if you see that all but one Tier 1 QB (e.g., Jalen Hurts) is off the board, you might prioritize filling that spot before the next tier sees a run-on QBs.

Late-Round Lottery Tickets

Drafting Tier 4 QBs as backups is a savvy way to uncover hidden value if proven starters show declining performance. For instance, a breakout performance from Geno Smith in 2022 caught many by surprise after being drafted as a backup.

The Role of Analytics in QB Tier Formation

Advanced Metrics for QB Evaluation

Analytics provide additional tools for narrowing tier divides. Consider:

• Average Depth of Target (ADOT): Shows how aggressively a QB pushes the ball downfield. High ADOT quarterbacks tend to align with explosive plays and fantasy upside.

• Completion Percentage Over Expectation (CPOE): Measures accuracy relative to NFL norms, helping isolate elite performers.

• Rushing Expected Points Added (EPA): Highlights dual-threat quarterbacks like Allen and Hurts.

Leveraging Offensive Play Rates

High-paced offenses usually benefit quarterbacks thanks to sheer volume. A team like the Bills, for instance, consistently leads the league in plays per game, making Josh Allen highly attractive.

Expert Opinions on QB Tiers

Many fantasy analysts stress the importance of tier-based drafting rather than affixing labels like "QB1 vs. QB15." The reasoning is straightforward—between QBs ranked as back-end starters, weekly variances are small. Maximizing value through tiered drafting ensures you build a balanced roster without neglecting other positions.

Analyst Matt Harmon says, “QB tiers remind us that even if you miss an elite option, grouping allows you to strategize backward.” This insight validates the flexibility that QB tiers provide.

FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions)

1. What are fantasy football QB tiers?

Fantasy football QB tiers are groupings of quarterbacks who are expected to have similar levels of fantasy production. They aim to simplify player comparisons by categorizing QBs based on their potential output rather than ranking them individually.

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2. Why are QB tiers important in fantasy football?

QB tiers help you draft more strategically by showing which players are of equal value. This prevents you from over-drafting a specific player and allows you to focus on other positions without losing production at QB.

3. How are QB tiers determined?

QB tiers are determined by analyzing factors like past performance, projected points, supporting cast, injury history, and advanced metrics. Expert analysis and statistical tools often play a role in their formation.

4. How many tiers are typically used for QBs?

The number of tiers varies, but most experts divide QBs into 4–5 tiers. Tier 1 includes elite quarterbacks, while later tiers feature reliable starters, streamers, and long-shot players.

5. Who are the typical Tier 1 QBs?

Tier 1 QBs usually include high-impact players like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Jalen Hurts. They combine consistent production with league-winning upside.

6. Should I draft a Tier 1 QB early?

Drafting a Tier 1 QB early may benefit you if you want reliability and elite weekly scoring. However, waiting for value picks in later tiers can allow you to secure stronger depth at other positions.

7. What makes a Tier 2 QB different from Tier 1?

Tier 2 QBs also have high upside but may lack the same level of consistency or offensive environment as Tier 1 quarterbacks. They can still deliver league-winning performances.

8. Are there valuable QBs in Tier 3?

Yes, Tier 3 QBs are often undervalued and offer reliable production. Players like Kirk Cousins and Trevor Lawrence are typical Tier 3 QBs who can finish as top-12 options.

9. What is the risk of drafting a Tier 4 QB?

Tier 4 QBs are usually less consistent and come with concerns like a low ceiling or situational reliance. They’re best used as backups or streaming options based on matchups.

10. Is it better to wait and draft a Tier 4 QB?

Waiting for a Tier 4 QB can pay off in late rounds if you focus on building a strong roster for other positions first. Late-round QBs like Daniel Jones have also delivered surprising results.

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11. Are dual-threat QBs more valuable in tiers?

Yes, dual-threat QBs, who can accumulate points through both passing and rushing, often dominate higher tiers due to their high weekly floors and explosive upside.

12. How do injuries affect QB tiers?

QBs with significant injury histories, like Lamar Jackson, are often placed in lower tiers despite their upside. Durability concerns may make them riskier picks.

13. How do bye weeks impact QB tiers?

Bye weeks don’t directly affect a QB’s tier, but they are important to consider during drafts. Ensure that your backup QB has a different bye week than your starter.

14. Can tiers adjust during the season?

Yes. QB tiers can shift during the season based on performance, injuries, or changes in offensive schemes. It’s important to reevaluate tiers as the season progresses.

15. How can I use QB tiers during my draft?

QB tiers help you decide when to draft a QB by showing positional drop-offs. If all players in a tier are gone, it might be time to shift your focus to another position.

16. What are “positional cliffs” in QB tiers?

Positional cliffs refer to a significant drop in production between tiers. Knowing when a tier is about to end lets you prioritize drafting before a positional cliff occurs.

17. Can late-round QBs outperform their tier?

Yes, late-round QBs like Geno Smith or Jared Goff have exceeded expectations in the past. These players are often found at the bottom tiers but can finish as top producers.

18. How do matchups influence QB tiers?

Matchups can temporarily elevate or lower the value of a QB within their tier. A Tier 3 QB could outperform a Tier 1 QB in a favorable matchup against a weak defense.

19. Should I draft multiple QBs from different tiers?

Drafting multiple QBs from different tiers can provide flexibility. For example, pairing a Tier 1 QB with a Tier 4 backup ensures consistent production throughout the season.

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20. How do analytics impact QB tiers?

Analytics like average depth of target (ADOT) and completion percentage over expectation (CPOE) provide deeper insights into a QB’s potential and help refine their placement in tiers.

21. Are rushing QBs always in higher tiers?

Not necessarily. Rushing QBs often dominate high tiers, but factors like health and passing inconsistencies can prevent some from reaching elite levels.

22. Can rookies be in top QB tiers?

It’s rare for rookies to land in top tiers, as NFL adjustments and unknown factors limit their reliability. However, some rookies like Cam Newton in 2011 defy these odds.

23. Do weather conditions affect QB tiers?

Weather conditions like extreme wind or snow aren’t considered in tier rankings but can impact a QB’s weekly value during the fantasy season.

24. Why are some Tier 2 QBs drafted earlier than others?

A Tier 2 QB might be drafted earlier due to personal preference, league scoring rules, or hype surrounding their offseason team upgrades.

25. Are all QBs within a tier equally valuable?

No. While tiered QBs have similar projections, subtle differences in consistency or upside can make certain players more attractive than others in the same group.

26. How do league formats affect QB tiers?

League formats, such as standard scoring or superflex leagues, heavily impact tier prioritization. Dual-QB leagues elevate the value of all quarterbacks, making tiers more crucial.

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27. Do tiers matter in dynasty leagues?

Yes, but age and long-term outlooks influence tiers. Younger QBs like Trevor Lawrence may rank higher in dynasty tiers, while veterans may drop lower despite solid production.

28. Should I use the same tiers across all leagues?

Not always. Tailoring tiers to your league’s scoring system (e.g., points per passing touchdown) ensures more accurate draft strategies.

29. How do offseason changes impact QB tiers?

Offseason changes like coaching shifts or new teammates can elevate or lower a QB’s tier. For example, a rookie wide receiver might significantly improve a QB’s efficiency.

30. Are QB tiers foolproof?

QB tiers are a helpful guideline but not flawless. Unpredictability, like injuries or team dysfunction, can shift a QB’s performance outside their expected range.

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Conclusion

Understanding QB tiers in fantasy football goes beyond simple rankings—it empowers you to draft strategically, adapt on the fly, and identify underappreciated talent.

By considering historical data, current projections, injuries, and advanced analytics, you can approach every draft with a clear roadmap.

Whether you’re targeting a game-changer in Tier 1 like Josh Allen or finding late value in Tier 4 with Jared Goff, QB tiers provide the edge you need.

The result?

A strategically built roster ready to hoist your league’s championship trophy.