99 BEST Tips Fantasy Football RB Rankings (Facts)

Fantasy Football RB Rankings - My Very Subjective, Personal Opinion:

Fantasy Football RB Rankings - Full Picture:

When it comes to fantasy football, running backs (RBs) play a pivotal role in determining the success of your team. They’re often the engine that drives scoring consistency, making the right RB rankings crucial. This comprehensive guide explores the many facets of evaluating and ranking fantasy football running backs. From historical performances to 2023 projections, we'll cover everything you need to know to dominate your league.

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The Historical Performance Factor

Consistency Over Metrics

Looking at past performance can shed light on which running backs deserve your earliest picks. Elite RBs like Derrick Henry and Christian McCaffrey have demonstrated an unparalleled combination of reliability and production. Studying trends, such as average yards per game or touchdowns scored, will give key insights into consistency rather than streaky games.

Breakout Stars vs. One-Year Wonders

It's critical to distinguish between breakout RBs such as Josh Jacobs in 2022, who ascended to stardom, and those whose production was a one-year fluke. Look for trends in workload (total carries and targets) and the offensive line they play behind as indicators of sustainability.

Age and Career Decline

History has shown that running back production often starts to decline after age 27. For instance, players like Todd Gurley were dominant for a brief period but struggled to stay productive as injuries and mileage piled up. When assessing a player’s value, consider their past workload and age as it relates to their durability.

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Current Season Projections

Preseason Rankings and Projections

Early preseason rankings offer valuable insights, but positional context is critical. Analysts tend to lean on factors like usage projections, offseason changes, and offensive scheme alterations. For 2023, stars like Austin Ekeler and Saquon Barkley rank high due to their dual-threat roles as rushers and receivers.

Role in Team Offense

The RB’s role in their team's offense is crucial. Is the team run-heavy, like the 49ers? Or does the back excel as part of a pass-heavy system, such as Alvin Kamara’s use in New Orleans’ aerial attack? High-powered offenses with strong offensive lines generally elevate an RB’s touchdown upside and overall efficiency.

Evaluating Incoming Rookie RBs

Rookie running backs are always intriguing targets, and 2023 is no exception with the arrival of Bijan Robinson. Track the volume of snaps rookies are projected to gain in training camp and evaluate the offensive lines they’ll run behind. Remember, opportunity translates into fantasy points.

The Impact of Injuries

Injury History and RB Value

Unfortunately, running backs are the most injury-prone position in football. When ranking RBs, understanding their injury history and the type of injury (e.g., soft tissue injuries like hamstrings vs. structural injuries like ACL tears) is critical. Players like Jonathan Taylor might drop in rankings temporarily due to recent setbacks.

Handcuffs and Depth Charts

Smart fantasy managers know the importance of securing handcuff RBs. Names like Alexander Mattison (Dalvin Cook’s former backup) or Tony Pollard (before ascending to RB1 status) often save seasons when starters miss time. Identifying the right backups within your draft strategy is crucial in flipping injuries into opportunistic ranking plays.

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How Medical Advances Affect RB Careers

Modern medicine has extended player careers, even for those with serious injuries. Adrian Peterson’s legendary comeback from an ACL tear to win NFL MVP redefined how we view injuries in the fantasy football market. Similarly, players’ recovery times post-surgery are shortening, thanks to rehab advancements.

Team Dynamics and Offensive Schemes

Offensive Line Strength

The quality of an offensive line directly impacts an RB's effectiveness. Running backs behind elite offensive lines, such as the Eagles or Browns, will often have better rushing tandems. Use tools like Pro Football Focus grades to evaluate the team’s offensive line.

Coaching Philosophy

Look for coaches who favor the run. For instance, Kyle Shanahan's history of building potent ground games in San Francisco boosts any RB in his system, whether it’s Christian McCaffrey or his backups. Meanwhile, some coaches split backfield touches, deflating RB rankings despite talent.

Target Share in the Passing Game

Versatility is king. Running backs who can catch passes, like Austin Ekeler, are more valuable in PPR leagues due to their high target shares within wide-open offenses. It is essential to understand how often quarterbacks throw to RBs within systems when evaluating rankings.

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Expert Opinions and Trends

Debating High-Risk, High-Reward Picks

Experts are often torn about risky running backs. Take Breece Hall in 2023, for example. Coming off a torn ACL, he has top-10 RB upside but carries significant risk for early-season underperformance. Understand how experts weigh risk versus reward in their rankings.

Emerging Zero-RB Draft Strategies

The Zero-RB strategy—prioritizing receivers, tight ends, and QBs early—has challenged traditional drafting norms. While unconventional, it highlights undervalued mid-round or sleeper RBs who could ascend to top-tier status. Analyzing trends from fantasy thought leaders can refine your approach.

Trade Market and Rankings in Seasonal Leagues

An RB’s live ranking can shift drastically due to trades during the NFL season. If Saquon Barkley were to exit the Giants' offense, fantasy managers would have to reevaluate both his value and the Giants’ new RB leader. Pay close attention to trade rumors and implications.

Keys to a Winning Strategy

Elite Tier RBs for 2023

• Christian McCaffrey (49ers): Elite dual-threat usage in a dynamic offense.

• Austin Ekeler (Chargers): PPR machine with high touchdown upside.

• Najee Harris (Steelers): Increased consistency in volume-heavy system.

High-Upside RB2 Candidates

• Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots): Pass-catching and goal-line value.

• Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks): Explosive big-play potential.

• Travis Etienne Jr. (Jaguars): Breakaway speed in an ascending offense.

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Late-Round Sleepers

• Zach Charbonnet (Seahawks): Emerging role in a run-heavy team.

• Ty Chandler (Vikings): Handcuff option poised for a larger role.

• Elijah Mitchell (49ers): Solid backup with standalone value when healthy.

FAQs (Frequently Asked Questions)

1. What are fantasy football RB rankings?

Fantasy football RB rankings are lists that rank running backs based on their projected performance for the season. These rankings help fantasy managers determine the value of each RB during drafts or while making in-season decisions.

2. Why are running backs so important in fantasy football?

Running backs are often key players because they can generate points through both rushing and receiving yards, as well as touchdowns. Their high usage in many offenses makes them a critical position in fantasy football.

3. How are RB rankings determined?

RB rankings are based on factors like past performance, projected usage, injury history, team dynamics (offensive line quality or coaching philosophy), and scoring formats such as PPR or standard leagues.

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4. What is the difference between PPR and standard rankings for RBs?

PPR (Points Per Reception) rankings value running backs who catch a lot of passes, whereas standard rankings prioritize players who excel in rushing yards and touchdowns. This difference can significantly impact the rankings.

5. Are rookie running backs worth drafting high?

Rookie RBs can be worth high picks if they are expected to receive significant touches in their team’s offense, like Bijan Robinson in 2023. However, their transition to the NFL and workload should always be evaluated.

6. How do injuries affect RB rankings?

Players with recent or frequent injuries see their rankings drop, as injuries can lead to reduced production. On the flip side, backups to injury-prone starters often rise in value as handcuffs.

7. What is a "bell cow" running back, and why are they desirable?

A "bell cow" RB is a player who receives the majority of their team’s carries and catches passes out of the backfield. Their high volume makes them consistent performers and valuable in fantasy rankings.

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8. Who are the top RBs for the 2023 season?

Christian McCaffrey, Austin Ekeler, and Derrick Henry are among the top RBs for 2023 due to their dual-threat abilities, high usage, and effective offensive schemes.

9. Should I draft running backs in the first two rounds?

Drafting RBs early is a common strategy because elite running backs are scarce. However, strategies like Zero-RB challenge this approach by targeting wide receivers early while finding value at RB later.

10. What does "handcuffing" mean in fantasy football?

Handcuffing is the strategy of drafting or acquiring an RB’s backup to mitigate the risk of injury to your starter. This ensures you have a replacement option if the starter misses time.

11. How do offensive lines affect RB rankings?

A strong offensive line creates better running lanes and protects the RB’s production. Players running behind elite lines, like those of the Eagles or Browns, tend to rank higher.

12. What are some common mistakes when evaluating RB rankings?

Common mistakes include overvaluing past performance without considering age or mileage, ignoring injury risks, and failing to account for scoring format differences (PPR vs. standard leagues).

13. Are pass-catching running backs more valuable?

Yes, especially in PPR leagues. Pass-catching RBs, like Austin Ekeler or Alvin Kamara, offer added value through receptions, giving them a higher floor and ceiling for points.

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14. How does team coaching philosophy impact RB rankings?

Coaches who favor a run-heavy system, like Kyle Shanahan, boost the value of their RBs. Conversely, coaches who use a committee approach can lower individual RB rankings.

15. What’s the significance of age when ranking RBs?

Running backs typically peak before age 27, with production declining as they age due to wear and tear. Younger RBs are often ranked higher for their durability and explosiveness.

16. What role does touchdown dependency play in RB rankings?

RBs reliant on touchdowns can have inconsistent fantasy outputs. For example, players who don’t catch passes are at risk of producing few points in games where they don’t score a touchdown.

17. Can you trust RBs coming off major injuries?

It depends on medical reports and rehabilitation updates. RBs like Adrian Peterson have returned successfully from injuries, but others never regain their peak form. Always exercise caution.

18. How are sleepers identified in RB rankings?

Sleepers are typically lesser-known or undervalued players in good situations, such as being backups poised for a larger role or playing in run-friendly offenses.

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19. What makes a good mid-round RB pick?

A good mid-round RB offers upside through volume and offensive potential. For example, Rhamondre Stevenson brings pass-catching and goal-line opportunities in the middle rounds.

20. Should you draft based on talent or situation?

Ideally, you want an RB with both talent and opportunity. However, situation often trumps talent in fantasy football, as volume and scoring chances dictate point production.

21. Why do RB rankings fluctuate during the season?

Rankings change due to injuries, player performance, team adjustments, or trades. For instance, if a starter goes down, their backup often skyrockets in value.

22. How does bye week alignment affect rankings?

While bye weeks don’t alter rankings, it’s vital to consider them when drafting. Stacking too many players with the same bye can leave you at a disadvantage during that week.

23. What’s the difference between an RB1, RB2, and RB3?

• RB1s are top-tier starters (e.g., McCaffrey).

• RB2s are reliable second options with decent usage.

• RB3s are flex players or backups with limited roles unless circumstances change.

24. Are running back committees bad for fantasy rankings?

Committees hurt individual RB rankings because touches are split between multiple players. This reduces volume and makes it harder to rely on any single RB for consistent production.

25. What does “vulture touchdowns” mean?

“Vulture touchdowns” occur when a backup or secondary RB steals goal-line carries, limiting the starting RB’s upside. Players like Jamaal Williams excelled in this role in 2022.

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26. Are dual-threat QBs bad for RB rankings?

Often, yes. Dual-threat QBs like Lamar Jackson take rushing opportunities away from RBs, particularly in the red zone, which can limit their fantasy ceiling.

27. How do trades within teams affect RB rankings?

When a team trades for or away an RB, it can drastically alter rankings. For instance, acquiring a star RB like Jonathan Taylor would elevate a team’s run game and lower backups’ value.

28. Should you draft based on schedule difficulty?

Yes, considering strength of schedule can help. RBs facing weak run defenses during critical playoff weeks (Weeks 14-16) can be more valuable than those facing tougher opponents.

29. How can I stay updated on RB rankings throughout the season?

Follow reputable fantasy football experts and platforms, track injuries, monitor depth charts, and analyze player usage trends weekly to adjust rankings accordingly.

30. When is it safe to draft a backup RB?

It’s wise to target backup RBs in the later rounds, especially those playing behind injury-prone starters or in run-heavy offenses, like Elijah Mitchell or Samaje Perine.

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Conclusion

Ranking running backs is both an art and a science.

It requires digging into statistics, understanding player roles and team dynamics, and keeping an ear out for expert insights.

Heading into the draft with a robust RB scheme can be the difference between hoisting your league trophy or languishing in the standings.

Keep these concepts in mind, and remember to tailor your rankings to your league’s scoring system and roster format.

Best of luck in your fantasy football exploits!